A Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll found that Trump enjoyed 42 percent support among eligible voters in the U.S., compared with 40 percent who would vote for Biden.
Biden has said it is his intention to run for the White House again in 2024, while Trump has repeatedly hinted at another campaign, though he has not yet made any formal announcement.
The poll comes as the former president told Fox News host Sean Hannity on Thursday that people will be “very happy” in 2024. He’s made similar comments a number of times.
The Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll was conducted on March 8 among 1,500 eligible voters and had a margin of error of 2.53 percent. The survey found Trump with a slim advantage over Biden in a theoretical rematch.
At 42 percent, support for Trump has risen four percent since February while support for Biden has fallen two percent. In Redfield & Wilton’s February poll, Biden enjoyed 42 percent support in a 2024 matchup, compared with Trump’s 38 percent.
A further 12 percent of respondents to the March poll said they did not know who they would vote for, down one point on February.
Neither Trump nor Biden managed to garner the same support they had won in 2020. The president won the 2020 election with 51.3 percent of the popular vote, while Trump won 46.9 percent.
The new poll also found Trump would defeat Vice President Kamala Harris in a hypothetical 2024 contest by a more significant margin, with 42 percent of respondents saying they would vote for Trump and just 37 percent expressing support for the vice president.
However, 13 percent of respondents said they didn’t know who they would choose in such a matchup.
Former President Trump again hinted at a possible run for the White House on Fox News on Thursday. He said he believed Republicans would have “a tremendous victory in the House” in the upcoming 2022 midterm elections where the GOP is hoping to retake both the House of Representatives and the Senate.
“I think a lot of people are going to be very happy in 2024,” Trump told Hannity, echoing language he’s used on many occasions about a possible campaign.
Biden’s approval rating remained in negative territory in the Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll and had declined since February. The poll found that approval of the president stood at 37 percent, while 47 percent disapproved of how he was handling his job.
That represents a decline on February’s poll, when Biden’s approval stood at 39 percent and 41 percent of respondents approved of him.
Vice President Harris’ approval rating was 34 percent in the March 8 poll and her disapproval stood at 43 percent. Both Harris and Biden have struggled with poor polling numbers for months, with the vice president remaining less popular than the president.
Poll tracker FiveThirtyEight analyses Biden’s approval rating by examining a wide variety of polls and using its own system of pollster ratings. It found that the president’s approval rating was 42.2 percent as of March 10, while 51.6 percent of Americans disapproved of the job he’s doing.
Redfield & Wilton Strategies enjoys a B/C rating from FiveThirtyEight.
